Tails You Win: The Science of Chance

00:00:02 All our lives, we are pulled about and pushed around

00:02:28 Heads...

00:05:05 I said, "Well, the likelihood that you'll be injured

00:07:17 "the dice are honest."

00:10:13 Smart players, like Mike, rarely touch them.

00:12:33 that Death would soon be paying them a call.

00:15:00 the greater the chance of you dying.

00:17:13 But thanks to medical advances

00:19:17 All these figures tell us a lot.

00:21:39 That's seven micromorts.

00:24:00 a world of pure chance, randomness.

00:26:29 Say what you like about this book, though

00:29:08 It's not a great bet, I admit.

00:31:19 so everything to do with chance, uncertainty and coincidences

00:33:06 Lots of them are about running into friends and acquaintances

00:35:30 Ed played for England and became captain of Middlesex.

00:37:51 I would land safely, I couldn't be absolutely certain.

00:40:41 In the 20th century, scientists - like meteorologist Ed Lorenz -

00:43:00 They wanted to predict when an atomic chain reaction

00:45:47 Good afternoon. Earlier on today

00:48:27 the strength of the wind we cannot be so certain about.

00:51:42 one major fault runs right across the pitch

00:54:09 But "unknown unknowns" are a real and profound challenge for us all.

00:57:04 But you can't blame them for the nature of chance.